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Real Estate Price Trend, Redding Ca

by Bob Sprenkel

 

NOVEMBER 2008 REDDING SALES INFORMATION

In the past few days both the Standard & Poor's Case-Shiller and the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) released home price info for Q3 2008.

The FHFA reports Redding depreciating 6.63% in Q3 2008 and 14.07% for the past year.  This is fairly consistent with information summarized from MLS.

There were 73 home sales in Redding in November 2008 per Shasta MLS with an average price/SF of $151.76.

The average sales price, average price/SF and number of home sales in Redding over the last five quarters were:                
                        
                      
     ;                    

Q3 2007

$323,302  

$186.08/SF

296

Q4 2007

$304,601

$170.55/SF

241

Q1 2008

$295,760

$163.46/SF

218

Q2 2008

$285,525

$158.35/SF

293

Q3 2008

$266,344

$150.80/SF

307

                       
There is still positive news out there:

  1. There were more sales in Redding in Q3 2008 than Q3 2007.
  2. There have been more sales in Redding in Q4 2008 than through the same date in Q4 2007.
  3. Home prices in Redding, while dropping this past year, are up 31.14% over the past five years.  Real estate is always a good long-term investment.
  4. FHA has come out with several new programs to help both first-time buyers and struggling mortgage holders.
  5. Home prices are now much more affordable.

To quote Warren Buffett, " . . . be greedy when others are fearful."  It doesn't get much scarier than the California real estate market this past year -- buying opportunities abound.

The government and economists finally figured out that we're in a recession -- and that it started one year ago.  My guess is that when our real estate market finally hits bottom, it will probably take those same parties another year to realize that also.

Please consider our office for your client's appraisal needs.  We also provide appraisal services for divorce and estate situations.  Should you have a client that fits either of those needs, please keep us in mind. 

Thank you,

Bob Sprenkel
Sprenkel Appraisals
P.O. Box 493818
Redding, CA 96049
(530) 243-9841 Phone
(530) 243-9987
Fax
sprenkelappraisals@sbcglobal.net
www.sprenkelappraisals.com

FHA Refinance Program

by Ray Ault

Hello Everyone,

 

I wanted to share with you some information on the new FHA Refinance program. Mark Stander is with Coldwell Banker Mortgage and he shares the following with you.

 On October 1, 2008, new FHA Refinance Loan Guidelines will go into effect as part of The Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008.  This new FHA Mortgage program is designed to help thousands of homeowners who are at risk of foreclosure in their current conventional or sub-prime home loans.

The details of The "HOPE for Homeowners Act of 2008" are as follows:

1. Eligible Borrowers

Only owner-occupants who are unable to afford their mortgage payments are eligible for the program. No investors or investor properties will qualify. Homeowners must certify, under penalty of law, that they have not intentionally defaulted on their loan to qualify for the program and must have a mortgage debt-to-income ratio greater than 31% as of March 1, 2008. Lenders must document and verify borrowers' income with the IRS.

2. Home Equity & Appreciation Sharing

In order to avoid a windfall to the borrower created by the new 90% loan-to-value FHA-insured mortgage, the borrower must share the newly-created equity and future appreciation equally with FHA. This obligation will continue until the borrower sells the home or refinances the FHA-insured mortgage. Moreover, the homeowner's access to the newly created equity will be phased-in over a 5 year period.

The borrower agrees to repay the following share of any home equity appreciation with the FHA when the home is sold or refinanced again;

A.  100% of any equity earned is paid to the government FHA if the home sells or the borrower refinances within 1 year.

B.  90% of any equity earned is paid to the FHA if the home sells or the borrower refinances within 2 years.

C.  80% of any positive equity earned is paid to the FHA if the home sells or the borrower refinances within 3 years.

D.  70% of any positive equity earned is paid to the FHA if the home sells or the borrower refinances within 4 years.

E.  60% of any positive equity earned is paid to the FHA if the home sells or the borrower refinances within 5 years.

F.  50% of any positive equity earned is paid to the FHA if the home sells or the borrower refinances after 5 years.

Note:  The FHA requires a 3% Exit Fee of the Mortgage Principal Balance when the borrower sells or refinances the home again. 

3. Other Requirements

Existing Subordinate Liens

Before participating in this program, all subordinate liens (such as second loans, home equity loans, etc.) must be extinguished. This will have to be done through negotiation with the first lien holder. 

Mortgage Insurance and Other Fees

The Up Front FHA Mortgage Insurance Premium that is required on all FHA Refinance Loans will change as part The Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008.  The Monthly MI Rates have also been updated.  The following FHA MI rates will begin on October 1, 2008 and will be effective for 12 months;

FHA Up Front MIP - Required on all FHA Loans (Can be financed into loan amount).

1.75% - Normal FHA 203(b) Refinance
1.5% - FHA Streamlined Refinance
3.0% - FHASecure (Refinance for high risk borrowers who are already delinquent on current mortgage)

Monthly MI - Multiply the loan amount by the figure below and then divide by 12. The result is your Monthly Mortgage Insurance.

30 Year Note
0.55% - Refinance greater than 90% of the home's LTV.
0.50% - Refinance less than or equal to 90% of the home's LTV.

15 Year Note
0.25% - Refinance greater than 90% of the home's LTV.
Monthly MI is not required on an 15 Year
FHA Refinance Loan with an LTV of 90% or less.

The FHA Refinance Loan Process

Each new loan will be originated and underwritten on a case-by-case basis.  To get approved, your income statements, bank accounts, credit scores and work history will be examined.  A new appraisal must be performed on your home to determine its current value. 

If doesn't have positive equity, then you must contact your current lender and negotiate with them to reduce (write down) your current mortgage to 90% of its current appraised value.  If your current lender agrees to the write down, then you will be able to proceed with the FHA refinance.

 
 
Mark L. Stander
Mortgage Advisor
Office (530) 221-0555
Cell (530) 262-1033
E-Fax (206) 350-3671

Gloom & Doom or Opportunity?

by Ray Ault

Everywhere you go, you hear the same sad things: "The rich are getting richer while the poor are getting poorer." "There just isn't enough to go around." "It takes money to make money." This can lead you to believe that there is some mystical force out there that regular people like you and me just can't tap into. If you subscribe to this way of thinking long enough, you may be tempted to say, "Since it takes money to make money and I have no money, then what hope is there for me?" There is plenty of hope, as long as you don't listen to the wrong people. Media naysayers are definitely the wrong people.

It is a common misconception that today's real estate market is in such an irreparably dire state that one would be a fool to start investing in properties. If this were true, however, why would people still be doing it? Real estate investors continue to make money every day; if you believe otherwise, you've simply been talking to the wrong people.

If this sounds easy, that's because it is easy - what could be simpler than seeking out someone who has achieved success in the field of real estate investing, and asking him or her what strategies do and do not work. This really is something that absolutely anyone can do. So, you may ask, why isn't everyone doing it? Well, there are two simple reasons that the vast majority of Americans aren't out making their fortunes in property investing right now: first, they've been listening to the people who claim that making money is an impossible feat. If you've been hearing that you will never succeed in your entire life, it's no wonder that you're reluctant to try your hand.

Most people are scared of trying to make money, based on cynicism and negative hype.

Secondly, most people do not become successful investors because they over complicate things. Successful investors follow a systematic plan, allowing their wealth to steadily grow. They do not risk it all to make a quick buck off of some dubious money making scheme. Most people do not have the discipline to fore go flashy scams and persevere on the proven path to wealth. The adrenaline rush of making a gamble is certainly tempting, but those who succumb to this temptation frequently end up worse off than they were when they started.

Sensationalism is a proven way to appeal to basic human nature, and that's why, rather than informing people about the tried and true ways that money can be made, the news media instead focuses on scaring the average Joe into believing in a grim picture of how the world works. With this kind of negativity on display on television and in print, it's no surprise that many see the world as a bleak place, where it is next to impossible to get ahead.

Fortunately, this destructive and self-defeating perspective is far from accurate.

If you want to succeed, the first step is to break through the wall of cynicism that you've more than likely developed as a result of a lifetime of listening to media sensationalism and the pessimists you encounter in your day-to-day life. You need to start listening to the people who know that success is possible, and, furthermore, know exactly what one needs in order to achieve it. These folks will tell you that in order to make money in real estate, you'll need to formulate a systematic plan, and you'll need to stick to it. Why would you listen to those who haven't found success, when you could be getting the facts straight from investors who have made money as real estate investors.

I heard a quote from Warren Buffet the other day.   

    "When I see people get greedy I get Scared...When I see people get Scared I get Greedy"

Think about it.

 

Should I Buy a Home Now?

by Ray Ault

I'm often asked if this is a good time to buy a home. Some clients are concerned that home prices may fall further than they have already. They are assuming that the best course of action is to wait for the bottom in the market and then buy. The problem with this approach is that you don't know where the bottom is until you see it in the rear view mirror, meaning until you've missed it!

Home prices are one factor in determining your cost of ownership, but so are interest rates and financing availability. Even though interest rates have gone up in the last six months, they are still near historic lows. Since your monthly mortgage payment is a combination of paying down your principal and paying the interest owed, if home prices come down a little further but interest rates go up, it could cost you even more to service a mortgage on an identical home!

While a home is a major investment, it is also the center of your personal life. It's important to live in a home that reflects your taste and values, yet is within your financial "comfort zone." To that end, it may be more important to lock in today's relatively low interest rates and low home prices, rather than to hope for a further break in prices in the future.

Please give me a call if I can be of any assistance in determining how much home you can afford in today's market.

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Ray Ault
Coldwell Banker C&C Properties
2120 Churn Creek Road
Redding CA 96002
Mobile: 530-945-7807
Fax: 866-451-8072

DRE Lic. #01236173